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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Fri., April 11, 2014)
Maiden claimers sprint six furlongs in the Friday opener, a race we don’t plan on getting too heavily involved with. #3 Grand Humor has plenty of zip but so far hasn’t shown any great desire to finish, while #4 Bad Behavior drops into a claimer for the first time for Baffert but his speed figures are dwindling. We suspect the winner might be a closer, and #2 Superboot, an English invader making his U.S. debut, has trained like he has the type of style for Hollendorfer.
Bottom-rung routing fillies and mares meet in the second race; #5 Joint Attempt is 6/5 on the morning line and faces her easiest task, while Bay area shipper #4 Gray Madam looks cheap on paper but arrives in winning form. Both should be included in rolling exotic play.
The Pick-6 begins in the third race, which shapes up as a two-filly affair between #3 Nueva Fortuna and #8 Fast Moka Too. The former has rising numbers for Spawr following a clever maiden claiming win and today’s extra half-furlong should be within her range. Fast Moka Too looked pretty decent graduating last month for Ellis and deserves the edge from her comfortable outside post.
We’ll try to survive the fourth race going just two-deep; feel free to spread if you can afford to. #6 Harness Mentality returns to the claiming ranks for the first time since he broke his maiden on New Year’s Day up north; the Stein-trained colt is a strong fit at this level and rates the edge. #1 Warren’s Cliff S. ran well at this level two runs back over this course and distance and is better than his last race shows. From where he’s dawn, the Gutierrez-trained gelding should inherit an ideal ground-saving trip.
First time starter #4 Marthajean has shown more than enough in the morning to win at first asking in the fifth race against a modest bottom-rung maiden claiming field and if she doesn’t make any mistakes the Puype-trained filly will be hard to beat. For protection you may also want to use the best of the known element, #3 Dulcemia, though her 21-race losing streak is hard to ignore.
The sixth race is a strong state-bred entry-level allowance affair on turf for fillies and mares. #9 Anniversary Kitty exits a pair of infinitely tougher races and should snap back to winning form, poor draw and all. She’s reunited with Garcia, who was aboard for the Tribal Rule filly’s maiden win. #7 Chilada gains Bejarano, who was aboard the filly in her sharp runner-up try two runs back over this course and distance. The O’Neill-trained daughter of Good Journey should bounce back in a big way today. #1 Street Boss stretches out for the first time and should thoroughly enjoy the added ground. Her good inside draw practically guarantees an ideal pace-prompting, ground-saving trip.
The featured seventh race is the Santa Paula Stakes for 3-year-old fillies and came up rather strong and contentious. #9 Taste Like Candy is back sprinting and exits three graded stakes races, so the daughter of Candy Ride can be expected to return to top form for Hollendofer. She continues to sizzle in the morning and retains Bejarano. We like her on top but in rolling exotic play we’ll also have on a few tickets the recent runaway starter allowance winner #1 L T Reckless and the sharp debut winner #8 Satirical.
The nightcap looks like a great spot for the comebacking #1 Cee’s Tizzy Belle. A strong-finishing fifth in her debut last summer at Del Mar without being knocked about, the Jones-trained mare has trained better than the times will show for her comeback and looks like a live price chance at 6-1 on the morning line. She’s worth some attention in the straight pool and the rolling exotics. Also worth considering are #4 Jennyway U Want It and #5 Warren’s Jen Fizz, two-three finishers in a similar downhill turf sprint for state-bred fillies and mares last month.