Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Sat., April 20, 2013)

Brooklyn Rose drops to the bottom in the Saturday opener and looks tough to beat. Nakatani stays aboard for Hess and should have this veteran mare within striking range from a comfortable inside draw. Racy Rosa won a restricted claiming sprint recently with an okay figure and is realistically spotted in this league. She’s stretching out for the first time and has the pedigree to enjoy the extra ground. Both should be used in rolling exotic play; we’ll give a very slight edge to Brooklyn Rose.

Salty Forecast may be hard one to trust – she missed at even money despite an easy front-running trip at Pomona in her most recent start – but she returns off a layoff against a bottom rung maiden claiming field in the second race and her works look solid for a barn that does well with layoff runners. Let’s make her a rolling exotic single at what should be a very short price.

Canelo finished second in a fast, highly-rated sprint recently and a repeat of that race in today’s third race very likely will be good enough to win. Alamo rides him back for Cerin and should have this colt on or near the lead throughout. Brannaman has had seven chances but is a fit on figures and seems a logical exacta partner with Canelo. Both are worth using in rolling exotic play with obvious preference to Canelo.

Lady of Shamrock was victimized by a lack of pace in the Santa Ana S. and did well to finish as close as she did in her first outing since November. She gets an extra furlong to work with in today’s Santa Barbara Stakes and should be along in plenty of time as a short priced rolling exotic single.

In the fifth race, Banged His Eye was disappointing in his first try vs. winners when fading to fifth in a similar restricted low level claimer. He earned a figure two races back when breaking his maiden that makes him a factor with these, however, while we’ll include him in our rolling exotics he certainly is not one to trust. A Thousand Aces is our top pick. The O’Neill-trained gelding looked good graduating recently and should be tough right back, especially with any kind of improvement.

Appealing ran quite well in her recent U.S. debut for Gallagher, rallying wide and finishing well to be a solid third in a similar downhill turf sprint. She figures to move forward in today’s sixth race, especially with the switch to Bejarano. We’ll make her a strong straight play and rolling exotic single.

Field Report lost a toughie when second in a similar starter’s allowance dash last month and if he duplicates that effort today he should beat this seventh race field. Freshened since that early March affair but with a very healthy work tab since then for Spawr, the son of Benchmark seems solid as a straight play and rolling exotic single.

Chips All In lost a heartbreaker in the Joe Hernandez Stakes under identical conditions in February – in fact he’s been unlucky to lose in each of his last three – but the Mullins-trained gelding deserves to win a race like the San Simeon and can be counted on for another huge run. We like him on top while thoroughly respecting Obviously, third in the BC Mile Turf behind Wise Dan and Animal Kingdom last November and training like he’s fit and ready for Mitchell. Both should be included in rolling exotic play.

In the nightcap, Street Maven drops for the money run and shortens up while trying conventional dirt for the first time. The Kitchingman-trained colt doesn’t have a whole lot to beat and looks very well meant under Maldonado. We’ll put him on top but also use his stablemate, Kingsbury, second in his last pair with respectable numbers and shortening up to what should be a more favorable trip.