Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Sunday, March 31, 2013)

In the Easter Sunday opener, Farayya shortens to a sprint, returns to turf and has little to beat in this straight maiden downhill dash for fillies and mares. There’s not much value to found in the straight pool, so you can pass the race or use her as a rolling exotic single.

Ubelongtomemissy is 2/5 on the morning line in the second race so this is another unplayable affair unless you think you can beat here. We don’t. You can use her as a rolling exotic single or pass the race.

Just Because looks best of a very weak lot in the third race maiden claimer for older runners; the Sadler-trained gelding should be another short priced winner in what so far appears to be a very chalky card. Same advice here, single or pass.

Anyone of three are capable of breaking their maiden in the fourth race, a one mile turf event. Foxy Boss is drawn nicely inside, continues to improve and should be prominent throughout. Scooter Bird looks dangerous from off the pace and will appreciate decent fractions to run at. Showgirl Form overcame trouble to finish an excellent second in her debut and can only improve. We’re expecting Leparoux to have her along in time.

We’ll use three of the five entrants in the Santana Mile in our rolling exotics but truth be told all five have a chance. You might just buy the race and be done with it. Liaison has been working like he’s fit and ready for Baffert and could fire a big shot fresh. We’ll give him a very slight edge but also include stablemate Hoorayforhollywood and Tres Borrachos, who finished heads apart in an overnight race last month.

Bilbao came off a long layoff to finish a sharp second in a similar downhill turf dash in late January and a repeat of that effort in today’s sixth race will make her hard to handle. Espinoza rides her back for Gaines. Cassandra Lynne won at first asking for Hofmans and earned a nice figure in the process; she tries turf today and will be dangerous right back if she handles the lawn. Catienus Gold is re-equipped with blinkers and is a route-to-sprint, dirt-to-turf play for Miller. Let’s triple the race in our rolling exotics while slightly preferring Bilbao on top.

Rossi Reserve flopped badly as the favorite recently but in the seventh race stretches out, removes blinkers, and seems capable of bouncing back vs. a modest bottom rung group of fillies and mares. We like her on top but we’ll also include Fiesta Express, a winner over a wet-fast track vs. similar last month but capable of handling any type of surface.

In the eighth race, Huntsville shortens up and is realistically spotted today. His best puts him right there and the switch to Maldonado is a positive factor. However, our top pick is Summer Hit, lightly-raced and with rising numbers. The Hollendorfer-trained gelding seems strictly the one to beat.

Hello Stormy has enough early speed to be dangerous in the finale, a very soft maiden claimer, and Pedroza rides her back. We’ll use her but prefer Glorious Memories, second off a layoff for Puype while retaining Talamo. She has back figures that beat this field and a good recent work to have her right on edge.