Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Sat., March 30, 2013)

A nice $49,844 Pick-6 carryover adds spice to an excellent Saturday program.

In the first race, Justamitch has trained like he’s fit and ready for Bonde at Pleasanton and in a below par state-bred maiden sprint in which the known element isn’t impressive, a fresh face can win it. Lucky Cotton broke slowly in his debut and then didn’t do much running; he’s come back to work well and seems sure to improve a ton. Bob Consultation has shown he can run some and has improving speed figures. He’s strictly the one to beat. We’ll go with the newcomer Justamitch on top but use all three in our rolling exotics.

Diamondsdiplomat is moving down a level in class following a win and a claim and that’s not usually a healthy pattern. However, the Sadler-trained gelding catches a very favorable pace scenario in the second race and will be tough to deny with anything close to his best race. We’ll also include in our rolling exotics Smokey Lonesome, dropping to a realistic level and probably the best of the closers.

Lite That Baby Up drops for the money run in the third race while retaining Bejarano. The Cerin-trained gelding returns to the main track and shortens up and should enjoy these conditions. Let’s make him a straight play and rolling exotic single.

The fourth race is a wide open maiden claiming sprint for 3-year-old fillies; the best advice is to spread. We’ll go two deep and hope that’s enough. Chila Ali adds blinkers, is the best of the known element and should take some catching. Swiss Key, in the money in both of her starts to date, should at least get a piece of it and may improve enough to pose a threat. We’ll give the edge to Chila Ali.

Brother Pete lands Bejarano for his debut in the fifth race and might be able to run a bit. We’ll use him in a grass grab bag down the hill for maidens. Colburn is a route-to-sprint, blinkers-off play and is bred to like grass on both sides of his pedigree. He’s a “must use.” Major Affair has been hooking some monster maidens lately and should go better shortening up and trying grass for the first time. He’s in good hands and probably has plenty of improvement in him. Let’s try Major Affair on top and have a few extra tickets with him in the straight pool.

Sweet Marini won for fun in her debut and then was privately purchased by Baffert. If she runs back to the number she earned in her debut in the sixth race, she’s probably home free with these. Doinghardtimesagain is worth tossing in on a ticket or two. The Hollendorfer-trained filly acts on any surface and should be rolling in the final furlong. A bullet recent workout should have her right on edge.

Tale of a Champion has been meeting some very tough foes lately and gets an easier spot in today’s seventh race while stretching out again. He’s overdue for a local win and retains Talamo. McAllister Boys, first off the claim for Hollendorfer, likes to win races, likes this turf course, and switches to Bejarano. He’ll be charging late. Patriotic Voyage is a devout front runner and if he can establish the pace without undue pressure he’ll take this field a long way. Let’s go with McAllister Boys on top – we’ re assuming he’ll be taken back and allowed to make one run – while tripling the race in our rolling exotics.

Could Be Trouble is improving with racing and earned a sharp speed figure when beating a lesser field in his first start since joining the Peter Miller barn. We like him right back in today’ featured Echo Eddie Stakes. Omega Star is back sprinting where he belongs and should go much better against state bred company. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics and then press a bit with Could Be Trouble on top.

Banged His Eye was nosed out in a similar spot earlier this month and shouldn’t make any mistakes in today’s finale. Drawn comfortably outside, the Miller-trained gelding should draft into an ideal pace prompting spot and then go on with it. Gomez stays aboard. Let ‘s make him a straight play and rolling exotic single.