Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Fri., March 22, 2013)

A $43,178 Pick-6 carryover awaits Friday players.

Bay Rush has the always dangerous blinkers off/class drop angle working for him in the opener and has plenty of back numbers that would be good enough to win this bottom-rung affair. Garcia stays aboard for O’Neill and should have this gelding settled in a second flight, ground-saving position. Global Glow lacks a winning punch but usually gets at least a piece of it and in a below par field for the level should be heard from. Talamo rides him back. Both should be used in rolling exotic play; we’ll give a very slight edge to Bay Rush on top.

There’s not much value in the second race; we’ll double the affair in our rolling exotics and that’s pretty much it. Blueskiesnrainbows lost a toughie in a similar spot last month but earned a big figure when second and retains Bejarano. He should be on or near the lead throughout again. Phantom Lover was in the photo with ‘Rainbows in a race in January and recent works indicate he’s fit and ready for a similar effort for Sadler. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll slightly prefer Blueskiesnrainbows on top.

Candy’s Jewel returns to the high priced maiden claiming ranks in the third race while adding blinkers and retaining Bejarano. He’s been a bit of a money burner but has numbers that would beat this field. Maybe today is the day he breaks through. Indian Gods, first off the claim for Becerra, stretches out and tries grass for the first time and most likely will try gate-to-wire tactics. Both are worth using in your rolling exotics; Candy’s Jewel seems like the logical top pick.

In the fourth race, Girl On the Lam has improving speed figures, a comfortable outside post, and a good recent comeback effort over this track. Baze should have her in a perfect pace-prompting position. We’ll make her a straight play and rolling exotic single.

The fifth race is a wide open grass grab-bag and probably requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Our top pick – and certainly not with a great deal of conviction – is Cavalletta, a Hendricks-trained filly which ran quite well under similar conditions two run back but failed to act on the main track when far back vs. similar last time out. Back on the lawn and switching to Espinoza, she seems as good as any with her best effort.

Idontrollonshabbos, first off the claim for Carava, should appreciate the extra half furlong of this elongated sixth race sprint and with good racing luck should be dangerous from off the pace under Talamo, who has won with him in the past. We like him on top but will also include in our rolling exotics Don’t Rock Me (class dropper in Miller’s barn) and Blake (dangerous speed, second off a layoff).

Om the featured seventh race, Saint Loup just finished an excellent second to subsequent stakes winner Bright Thought and there’s nothing in here even remotely that good. With blinkers being added and with the stretch out to 12 furlongs, the Canani-trained import shouldn’t make any mistakes as a straight play and rolling exotic single.

The finale, a maiden claiming miler, is mess. Victoria’s On Fire stretches out for the first time, has the pedigree to handle the extra ground and should find herself in a good pace pressing position from her inside draw. Medusalina is another sprint-to-route play and might be the quickest of the quick. She could get brave if she can shake loose early. Blazen All Star is improving with racing for Puype and a repeat of her last race could very well be good enough. She’s our top pick, but you should go deeper if you can afford to.