Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Thur., March 21, 2013)

Bikini Bottom improved dramatically when dropped to his level in her second career start and a repeat of that effort in today’s opener should be good enough to handle this high priced maiden claiming filed of older state bred fillies and mares. A bullet blowout over the weekend should have her on edge, and Krigger stays aboard for O’Neill. At 4/5 on the morning line she offers no value in the straight pool, so we’ll be content to use her as a rolling exotic single.

In the second race, His Royal Highness goes from Van Berg to D’Amato after being nosed out in a similar spot last month and looks set to graduate while switching to Talamo. This seven furlong trip looks perfect for his style. In a very shallow field, he’s a short price straight play and rolling exotic single.

Spacecoast shortens up to an abbreviated sprint distance in the third race and should stick better while retaining Bejarano. A repeat of her race before last puts her right there. Peppy Bolly, second in the same race ‘Coast exits, has been no worse than second in three starts over this main track and retains Talamo. She’ll be rolling late. Both should be included in rolling exotics; we’ll slightly prefer Peppy Bolly on top.

Wittgenstein has faced stakes competition in each of her four starts since breaking her maiden during the autumn season. She tries entry-level allowance company in today’s fourth race and seems sure to improve considerably. She should enjoy a nice ground-saving trip from the rail, has won over this course in the past, and is a fit on numbers. Sweet Red Cat broke her maiden nicely and came right back to win a starter’s allowance affair. She’s worked solidly since and another forward move is likely. Both should be used in your rolling exotics; we’ll have extra tickets with Sweet Red Cat on top.

Courageousandbold looked good beating a restricted $12,500 claiming field last month and is realistically spotted in the fifth race, an open $10,000 affair. Garcia stays aboard for Sadler and should have t his lightly-raced daughter of Trippi doing her best work from off the pace. Indycat has only one way to go – on the front end – and will take them as far as she can. She’s a veteran mare with a winning spirit and a repeat of her sharp recent Bay Area score makes her dangerous once again. We’ll double the race in all rolling exotics and then press a bit with Courageousandbold on top.

Broker Brett disappointed two-turning last month but his previous two outings, both sprints, were sharp so we’ll give him a chance to bounce back in the sixth race. He switches to Maldonado and should be a factor from off the pace. Mambo Man launches a comeback for Mulhall and very likely is much better than his debut last summer at Del Mar indicates. He’s been working very well of late and represents strong stranger danger. Lefty O’Doul makes a pivotal switch to Bejarano and backs up to what should be his preferred distance. The edge goes to Mambo Man but all three should be included in your rolling exotics.

Great Warrior, second off a layoff and dropping for the money run, fits very well with this seventh race field and will be tough with anything close to his best race. The Sadler-trained veteran was a tad rusty vs. tougher last month should move forward in a big way today. A bullet five furlong drill a few days ago is an excellent indicator. American Blend projects well stretching out based on his most recent sprint and he continues to look good in the morning for Gaines. Bejarano stays aboard. Let’s use both in our rolling exotics while giving the edge on top to American Blend.

In the nightcap, Coconut Cream Pie missed in a photo despite a slow start in her debut last month and is raised in class off that promising effort in a sign of confidence. Garcia stays aboard for Sadler and any kind of forward move will make her hard to handle. Rockin Cowgirl is plenty quick and at this abbreviate sprint trip she could shake loose and get very brave. Both should be used in rolling exotic play; we’ll prefer Coconut Cream Pie on top.