Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Sun., March 10, 2013)

The Sunday program begins with a very weak maiden claimer; we’ll use two and hope that’s sufficient. Flew Flicker is an 11-race maiden but he actually finished first in a race three back, only to be disqualified. He has dangerous speed in this context so we’ll use him along with Political Man, a closing sort with competitive figures for a clever outfit. Toss in a few others if you’d like or better yet simply pass the race.

If he runs back to his highly-rated maiden score, Let Em Shine will outrun the second race field. He’s worked very well since his victory in mid-January and certainly has a right to produce a forward move. There’s no value in the straight pool but we’ll make him a short priced rolling exotic single.

Indian Gods drops for the money run in the third race and on pure numbers lays over this field. This is a realistic spot for a 4-year-old maiden with an apparent history of problems. He’s 7/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower, so there’s no recommended play here other than in the rolling exotics.

In the fourth race, Silver Dragon just won a state bred race down the hill and earned a nice number; we’ll give him a chance to repeat against open company. Stevens stays aboard. Swift Eagle adds blinkers for the first time and the change in equipment certainly could have a positive effect. He’s right there with these off his best race. Distort This ran very well over this course in a similar spot last month for Sadler and should draft into a nice pace prompting position. We’ll give a very slight edge to Swift Eagle while using all three in our rolling exotics.

Broadway Nika ran well at this level two runs back and was in a bit steep when raised in his most recent outing. Back where he belongs in today’s fifth race, the Litt-trained gelding should be within striking range throughout. Banged His Eye broke his maiden against a modest claiming field recently and is realistically spotted here by Miller. He’s a fit on numbers and should have clear sailing outside under Gomez. Both should be used in rolling exotic play with slight preference to Banged His Eye.

In the sixth race, Real Heat is a route to sprint play, lands the good outside post, retains Bejarano, continues to look sharp in the morning, and should be set for his very best. We’ll make him a straight play and rolling exotic single.

Judge Carr stretches out for the first time in the seventh race and by all indications he’ll enjoy the extra distance. His one-turn numbers are solid for this level and he has the right style for two turns. Mind the Master broke his maiden against a bottom rung group but looked decent doing it and probably has further improvement in him. Talamo stays aboard for Eurton. We’ll put Judge Carr on top while using both in our rolling exotics.

Teddy’s Promise picks up five lbs. off her Santa Monica win in the featured Las Flores Stakes but she’s so good – especially on this track – that we’re thinking the extra weight won’t stop her. She’s a prototype pace-stalking sprinter and continues to maintain her sharp edge in the morning for Ellis. We’ll make her a straight play and rolling exotic single.

The only thing we know for sure about the finale is that somebody will win. In a wide open guessing game, we have no idea who that might be. We’ll pass; if you’re play rolling exotics use as many as you can afford to.