Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Sun., Feb. 24, 2013)

A Pick-6 carryover of $100,001 awaits players on a challenging Sunday program.

Can’t really make much of the opener; we’ll go three deep in our rolling exotics while passing in the straight pool. Mia Isabel is tough on any surface and loves to win races. She’s a fit on figures and should fold into a nice second flight position. Miner’s Daughter graduated with a nice number in January and has trained sharply since for Baffert. She appears to have the most upside in the field. Include the Cat had poor luck when unplaced in a tougher spot last month but retains Gomez and returns to the optional $40,000 level. A repeat of her race before last puts her right there.

Miles Heir beat a similar field earlier this month and if he can turn in two alike in today’s second race he can be dangerous right back. He’s picking up some weight but he’s always liked this track and he knows how to win. Morganouska switches to Bejarano in his first start since being claimed by Hollendorfer and is very likely to improve. He should inherit a good pace stalking position. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with a very slight edge going to Morganouska.

In the third race, Summer Hit is fast on numbers and is tough at any distance and surface. He should fire another big shot today, though he loses Bejarano. In a race without too much pace, he very well could shake loose as the controlling speed. Black N Beauty, away since June and making his first local start for Sadler, has trained well enough to be fit and ready and his numbers in New York make him a major player on this circuit. We’ll use both in rolling exotic play while giving a slight edge on top to Summer Hit.

Atta Girl Alma has improving speed figures and with another forward move in today’s fourth race looks quite capable of earning her diploma. She switches to Talamo, continues to impress in the morning and is bred to adore the turf. There’s plenty of value here at 5-1 on the morning line, so we’ll make her a straight play and rolling exotic single.

We really don’t have a strong opinion in the fifth race. Joe Carl is an old pro with a winning spirit so we’ll put him on top as a rolling exotic single for those inclined to play. Away for a couple of months following a win and dropping a notch for new trainer Mitchell, he doesn’t have the healthiest of patterns but clearly is good enough if he shows up with one of his better efforts.

In the sixth race, Yawannagokid finished a willing third in her debut and certainly should benefit from the outing for low profile connections. She should draft into a nice pace stalking position and there’s no reason she won’t handle grass. The one to beat, though, is Jade With Envy. Overmatched in state bred stakes company last time out, she’s back where she belongs today and lands Bejarano following a series of solid drills. A repeat of either one of her first two starts should get her home. We’ll double the race in our rolling exotics and then press a bit with Jade With Envy on top.

Qiaona was an upset winner of a state bred stakes race last month, coming from out of the clouds with the help of the race-shape to register a 23-1 surprise. Gomez stays aboard and the daughter of Wilko will hope for hot fractions again in today’s seventh race. Branding is strictly the one to beat. The lightly-raced daughter of Street Sense was visually impressive breaking her maiden in an extended sprint and should be even more comfortable around two turns. We’re expecting Stevens to have her along in time.

The eighth race is a grass grab bag down the hill and one strategy could be simply to buy the race in rolling exotic play. We’ll boil it down to one. Cat Talk loves this course, packs a strong late kick and maintained his edge in the morning. Gomez fits him perfectly and with good racing luck the veteran gelding can produce the last run.

Pure Blush doesn’t have a whole lot to beat in the finale, a bottom rung maiden claimer, and may have found a field she can beat. The Eurton-trained filly retains Talamo and repeat of her last race should be good enough as a no-value, short-priced single.