Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Fri., Jan. 11, 2013)

In the Friday opener, Oscillator has been knocking on the door and is overdue for a win. Her one prior effort over conventional dirt wasn’t bad, and the Periban-trained filly has several back speed figures that are good enough to beat this field. She switches to Maldonado and should draft into an ideal pace prompting position. We’ll put the daughter of Decarchy on top, but also include in our rolling exotics Cuvee Exchange, an impressive debut winner for Sadler with a good figure but coming back quickly (12 days).

I’m Not Gray really doesn’t have much to beat in the second race and lands a likely spot to earn his diploma. Drawn comfortably outside, he switches to Maldonado after chasing much tougher straight maiden company in his debut in November across town. He continues to look decent in the morning and should enjoy a perfect in-the-clear trip.

Saturday’s Girl ran well under similar conditions over the Hollywood Park turf course last time out and if she moves forward in today’s third race for Bonde she can graduate. The switch to Bejarano is a positive move and she sports a very sharp five furlong drill since her last race. Miss Malibu also has looked quite good in the morning of late and the Drysdale-trained filly could continue her improving pattern today under conditions that seem ideal for her closing style. Bromelia, freshened since October, shortens up to a sprint today while switching to Leparoux and with a bullet six furlong workout here earlier this month the Avila-trained filly should be primed and ready. All three are worth including in rolling exotic play; we’ll give a very slight edge to Bromelia.

This fourth race is a mess; use as many as you can afford to in rolling exotic olay. Roar Baby Roar gets top billing; the Hollendorfer-trained filly retains Bejarano and has a few back numbers that would be more than good enough to beat this field. She likes to settle and then make a run and this extended sprint distance should be perfect for her style. Siempre Esperanza seeks her third straight win while moving up in class and her good recent form must be respected, although based strictly on numbers she’s going to have to move forward again. Appealing Resume, second behind Siempre Resume in that common race across town in early December, has done well in the morning in the interim and should fire a similar shot today. With 10 wins in 30 career starts, she certainly knows where the wire is.

The fifth race is another tough affair requiring a spread. Any one of four can win and the contention may run even deeper than that. Bull Time finished a solid second in a similar affair at Hollywood Park last month and if he can turn in two alike he can be tough once again. Doubledown On Ten drops to the bottom, has back numbers that would bury this field, and retains Garcia for his second start off a layoff. We’ll put him on top. San Savino trailed tougher rivals in his only outing but has worked like a better sort for Periban and probably deserves another chance with the switch to Maldonado. An Shanachie removes blinkers, drops into a bottom rung maiden claimer for the first time and makes his local debut in a very soft spot for a clever outfit. He’s pretty quick and could be dangerous off the bench.

He’s Not too Shaby crushed a straight maiden state bred field last month and did so with a nice figure, one that makes him tough right back in the sixth race, a good starter’s allowance affair. He’s looked quite sharp in the morning since his win and Bejarano stays aboard. We’ll also include Derringer, a first-off-the-claim play for Sadler and working like a much improved sort since changing barns.

Motown Men was out of element at Zia Park but isn’t in today’s seventh race. The Eurton-trained gelding should improve with the switch to turf and is back with Bejarano, who figures to put this son of Decarchy into an ideal pace stalking position. Don’t Rock Me looks like the one to catch in his first start since arriving from Maryland. The Miller-trained gelding has rising speed figures and with another forward move could fit very nicely on this circuit. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll give Motown Men a very slight edge.

In the finale, Warren’s Gussie has trained well enough to act in a bottom rung maiden claimer and in an unclassified field is worth tossing in. Pastoria, second off a layoff for Jones, retains Talamo and probably will be fitter and tougher today after flashing good speed but fading in his comeback last month across town. Madelineispickin is the quickest of the quick and will take them a very long way in this abbreviated sprint. Pastoria gets the nod but we’ll triple the race in our rolling exotics.