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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis (Fri., Oct. 26, 2012)
A nice pick-6 carryover of $44,909 awaits players on a challenging Friday program.
#3 Code West is 2/5 on the morning line in the opener and looks like it on paper. In the money in all three starts and second to Breeders’ Cup Juvenile entrant Title Contender last time out, the son of Lemon Drop Kid has worked in sharp style since that race for Baffert and should earn his diploma as a no value rolling exotic single.
In the second race, #1 Filly Power won a decent starter’s allowance race at Fresno recently and will be seeking her third straight score while moving up to the $16,000 level for Glatt. Talamo won on her two races back and returns aboard the daughter of Memo. She’s 8/5 on the morning line and may go lower. #2 Roman Charity, the other Glatt entrant, is the one to fear most, dropping a notch following a solid runner-up try here earlier this month. She’s zero-for-eight lifetime at Santa Anita (in fact, she usually prefers to run third) but we’ll toss her in. The Spawr-trained #5 Real Housewife deserves a bit of a look as well; she is dropping to her lowest level ever while steadily rounding into form and should be doing her best work from off the pace. Filly Power is the most likely winner but the other two should run well so we’ll use all three in our rolling exotics.
#4 Drift King moves up a level in today’s third race for Mitchell following a nice score two weeks ago and he’s always been just as good if not better on turf. Garcia should have him on or near the lead throughout. #6 Off the Wall got some of the rust off over this course last month and should be fitter and tougher today. Talamo stays aboard for Headley. These two pretty much make the race; a slight edge goes to Off the Wall.
In the fourth race, #4 Put It There drops again in class and looks to have found a field he can outrun. He should be the controlling speed and has proven winning form over this track. #6 Hammer the Bay takes a rather significant class drop and if he has at least one good one left he’ll be hard to beat. Pedroza stays aboard for Miller. Let’s give a slight nod to Put It There while doubling the race in our rolling exotics.
The fifth race is a grass grab bag down the hill for older maiden fillies and mares. #7 Wunderbar tries turf for the first time (bred for it) and we’re expecting this Mandella-trained filly to improve considerably. She continues to look good in the morning and Nakatani stays aboard. #9 Marcyjane, a second time starter for Marty Jones (strong with this angle), closed a gap in her debut and seems very likely to step forward today with the switch to Gomez. #10 Eileen’s Dream is the quickest of the quick and will take them as far as she can. The Sadler-trained filly seems a bit suspect under pressure but she continues to train well so improvement certainly is possible. Of the three we’ll slightly prefer Marcyjane but we’ll triple the race in our rolling exotics.
In the sixth race, #4 Planet Sunshine fires every time and is overdue for another win. He has enough tactical speed to always be within range and his recent numbers are better than par for the level. He’s 2-1 on the morning and offers some value at anywhere close to that in the straight pool. Let’s make him a rolling exotic single.
The featured seventh race is a tough downhill turf sprint for starter’s allowance fillies and mares. #6 Purim’s Dancer crushed a maiden claiming field in Chicago in her second lifetime outing and arrives ready to roll for Proctor. She’s a strong fit on numbers and has the perfect style for this downhill course. #9 Oscillator has turf breeding on both sides of her pedigree so she, too, figures to move up on the lawn. Hernandez fits her well and should have the Periban-trained filly moving strongly in the final furlong. Let’s give Purim’s Dancer the edge but use both in our rolling exotics.
In the finale, #2 Miss Communication makes that all important class drop from maiden to bottom rung maiden claiming and also has the blinkers-off angle going for her as well. The Mitchell-trained filly switches to Talamo, has back figures that can win, and has trained well since her last outing. It all adds up very positively. #6 Lady Shazzam, runner-up at the level earlier this month, really won’t have to improve much to win. Miss Communication gets top billing but we’ll double the race in our rolling exotics.