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Jeff Siegel's Prime Picks for Thursday, April 16 at Santa Anita
A healthy $94,8972 carryover awaits Pick-6 players on today’s Thursday program. Hopefully we can pay for our ticket with some success in the early Daily Double.
In the 1st race, #3 Swift Demand looks well placed for a score at 3-1 on the morning line. The High Demand gelding switches to Rosario and seems to be rounding back to his best form following a solid third place effort vs. similar while earning a decent number. He should be capable of producing the last run at this abbreviated sprint trip a below par field for the level.
The 2nd race, a baby race down the chute, favors those with a race over the track. #1 Uncle Ruby, #3 Happy Hedger, and #4 County Madam exit the April 2 race and since none of the first timers have been especially impressive in morning works, let’s use the three with experience. The most attractive on the three is County Madam, who continues to work like she has some talent and probably is better than her fifth place debut finish would indicate.
The 3rd race kicks off the Pick-6 and we’ll use #5 Omega Minister as a single on our small ticket. The Carava-trained gelding is fresh from a sharp score vs. slightly softer in a race that shows he doesn’t need the lead to win. He’s trained well since, retains Bejarano, and looks tough to beat right back.
We’ll double the 4th race, using #3 Satellite and #7 Spot the Diplomat. The latter, second off the claim for O’Neill, always gives his best and should be a late factor while shortening up to six furlongs. The latter also does his best running late, exits a hot race, and retains Rosario.
The 5th race seems made to order for #3 Pat the Cool Cat, who has solid form at the level for Sadler and figures to fire another big shot. Although beaten as the choice last time out, she catches a slightly softer field today and this downhill turf course specialist should get back on the winning track. She’s our second Pick-6 single of the afternoon.
We’ll go three-deep in the 6th race and hope to survive. #1 Red Neck Gal lands the good rail and likely can improve her last try, a disappointing third at even money in a similar spot. She may not exactly be trustworthy, but her best must be respected. #7 Mud Sweat’n Tears dropping off a win – not usually a healthy sign – but Rosario stays aboard and in this bottom-runger she’s a “must use.” #8 Toll Road stretches out and drops to the bottom for Mitchell. This distance may be stretching her limit but the connections are red hot and she won’t have to improve much to win.
Today’s feature, a downhill turf sprint for 3-year-old fillies, requires that we use #4 Silent Stalk, #6 Starlarks, and #7 On Approval. Clearly, we don’t have a real feel for the race and we can see any one of the three winning it. Silent Stalk broke her maiden gamely over the course with a career top Beyer figure (81) and with improvement figures tough right back. Starlarks seems to be moving forward with racing for Gallagher and could be dangerous from off the pace. On Approval is lightly raced and improving for the high percentage Walsh barn, retains Rosario, and should be rolling in the final furlong.
Hopefully we’re alive heading into the 8th race and if we are we’ll have to sweat things out with a single. #8 Action in May drops into a claimer for the first time while making his first start since being transferred to the Mullins stable and in a field with a group of 3-year-olds that appear to be going nowhere, let’s hope that this Triple Crown nominee has found his friends. He’s a fit on numbers, has trained well enough to be fit for his first start since January, and likely is better than shown. He’s a play at anywhere near the 7/2 that his morning line represents.