Jeff Siegel's Prime Picks for Friday, Jan. 16

I had a hunch the Pick-6 would carry over again today. It did, with $461,236 already in the bank as we attack a sequence (races 3-8) that offers some value without being impossible. I believe we can get past the first leg (3rd race) using just two horses, #1 Recoil and #6 Tommys Luck. Recoil returns to the claiming ranks and switches from turf to the main track after flashing early speed and weakening late in all of his recent outings. I’ll give him a chance to snap back based on his form at Santa Anita last year and he could get loose and very brave if he breaks running from the rail. Tommys Luck finished second at this level over the Hollywood Park turf last month but has had success over the synthetic in the past so I don’t think the surface switch will bother him. He does his best running from off the pace and Bejarano should have him rolling in the final furlong. This will give us potentially the best speed (Recoil) and the best closer (Tommys Luck). The 4th race is a bottom rung maiden claimer and while it’s tempting to spread this race, there seems very little depth to the contention. #9 Elusive Chief returns off a layoff for Bob Hess and drops to his lowest level ever and the solid works and the presence of Bejarano coupled with decent back speed figures clearly make him the horse to beat. Stranger danger is represented by #5 Gold Stock, who has worked like he can run some for his debut and might be worth throwing in. The same can be said for #4 Tribunal Blues, whose trainer, Mike Harrington, has been known to crack with first time starters. I don’t think anybody else matters. Two that caught the eye in the 5th race are #1 Alex’s Wish and #4 Saucey Officer. The former exits a fairly hot race for the level and should be dangerous from off the pace while the latter is dropping into a soft (restricted) claimer for the first time and could wake up against this considerably easier field. I really don’t trust #10 No Cream Or Sugar (she’s 1-for-15) but a good outside draw, the switch to Bejarano and the route to sprint angle make her a contender, I suppose. I feel fairly confident that we’ll get out of the 6th race using three horses, #1 Kaptain Kordough, #5 Magic Launch, and #8 A Flicker of Light. Kaptain Kordough stretches out for the first time, lands the good rail and switches to turf. He was finishing full of run when he ran into a roadblock in midstretch in his last start and today removes blinkers for the first time. He should be prominent throughout. Magic Launch is a filly tackling the boys and she’s going to need to make a forward move but this is just her third lifetime start so improvement is likely. A Flicker of Light, is another stretching out for the first time while leaving the filly ranks and if she can shake loose early she might take them a long way. In the featured 7th race, #6 Onetimeatbandcamp could be the single that most tickets require. Exiting a fast, highly-rated dash in which the Kruljac-trained gelding finished strongly to be second, he lands the comfortable outside post and in a race that likely will be have soft splits, should be within striking range without having to be used. I think he can produce the last run. I hoping to get out of the 8th race using #3 Voodoo’s Vision and #11 Lucky Losty. Voodoo’s Vision, from the red hot Julio Canani barn, should be part of the pace and won’t have to improve much to keep on going in a well below par field for the level. Lucky Losty is a first-time-in-a-claimer play off a layoff, and with Bejarano aboard he becomes a “must use” even though his one and only good race came at Pomona. Good luck!