jsiegel's blog

The Thursday program begins with a pair of light races that lack true wagering value. The better opportunities come later in the program.

In the opener, #5 Sassy Suances plummets in class and will be a short price if healthy. Trouble is, all three of her victories have come in gate-to-wire fashion and #6 Sugar Spice is quick enough to prevent that from happening. Tread lightly here.

A massive $430,034 double Pick-6 carryover makes the special Columbus Day program a “must play” for handicappers.

A good Sunday nine race program is made more interesting by a $91,551 Pick-6 carryover.

The opener offers a 2/5 morning line favorite in the comebacking #6 Blonde Fog. A 12 length maiden winner in her debut and then second in the Gr. 1 Hollywood Starlet Stakes last year, she returns off a long layoff for Baffert with a solid work tab, but offers no value in what appears to be an unplayable race, unless you think you can beat her. We’ll sit it out.

An excellent Saturday program begins with a mile maiden turf affair that brings out a short priced morning line (7/5) favorite, #3 Cervaro. The Sadler-trained sophomore exits a hot race and although he was beaten as the choice in that affair, he deserves another chance as a logical rolling exotic single.

A better than average nine race program offers a number of attractive rolling exotic wagering opportunities.

The opener is a middle distance claimer that contains only six runners. #7 Cook Inlet returns from Penn National where he had decent form and the Kitchingman-trained gelding should act with these. We’ll put him very slightly on top over #1 Big Wags (likes this track and exits a tough starter’s allowance race) and #5 Smokin’ Cat (back at his claim level and was a winner over similar at Del Mar). Use all three in your rolling exotics or simply pass the race.

Pick-6 players are in heaven today; a double carryover of $575,466 could lead to a pool in excess of $3 million when all the ballots are tabulated.

Pick-6 Players will be enticed by a $156,251 carryover on today’s nine race program that has plenty of depth and quality. The sequence (races 4 through 9) looks especially challenging.

In the opener #4 Miss Fast Eddie should build on her promising debut run and looks well-spotted to earn her diploma. A closing second at Pomona last month, she’s come back to train quite well for O’Neill and switches to Guitierrez. She’s been raised to the $50,000 maiden claiming level in a sign of confidence and looks capable of producing the last run at what should be a square price.

There’s a $26,256 Pick-6 Carryover for players on an outstanding Santa Anita Saturday program.

#7 Heyyoucan looked very good breaking his maiden at Del Mar with a sharp speed figure and finds himself in a logical starter’s allowance affair in the opener while seeking his second straight score. The Miller-trained gelding seems like a handy type that can run well pressing the pace or settling early to make one run. We’re expecting Talamo to have him along in time.

A solid eight-race program begins with a maiden claiming sprint for older fillies and mares. #4 Tizhardtoget, away since May, surfaces for a tag and appears to be training well enough to beat this field. She earned decent speed figures earlier this year when chasing tougher. #6 Elusive Luci had good speed before fading vs. straight maidens at Del Mar; she figures to stick a whole lot better in this league.

The Santa Anita Autumn season moves into its second week with a solid eight race program.

#1 Market Portfolio looks ready to graduate in this, his third career start. The Hollendorfer-trained gelding continues to exhibit sharpness in the morning and if he can avoid trouble from his rail post position the son of After Market should be able to handle this maiden-claiming field. #3 Broker Brett, in the money in his last pair with better than par speed figures for the level, looks like a logical exacta partner with our top pick.